Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.842880 6.667738 7.578649 8.661081 9.914703 11.323782 13.031628
2025-04-06 4.687009 5.743179 7.003217 8.624133 10.663864 13.158357 16.459752
2025-04-13 3.955836 5.104037 6.553304 8.530166 11.177024 14.627336 19.512492
2025-04-20 3.570673 4.807342 6.442857 8.785801 12.091396 16.641183 23.468619
2025-04-27 3.254111 4.543217 6.317666 8.969576 12.885601 18.539177 27.471753
2025-05-04 3.042697 4.389118 6.310596 9.294911 13.889586 20.821523 32.311918
2025-05-11 2.718461 4.031426 5.963527 9.064736 14.013931 21.770977 35.178815
2025-05-18 2.472470 3.761468 5.712927 8.942630 14.273038 22.932993 38.507702
2025-05-25 2.267120 3.531482 5.496701 8.843371 14.543494 24.122732 42.011935
2025-06-01 2.077386 3.306945 5.264994 8.688773 14.693589 25.109277 45.262498
2025-06-08 1.904132 3.092696 5.028559 8.498013 14.752202 25.928376 48.291324
2025-06-15 1.851967 3.073401 5.111444 8.862359 15.827808 28.684971 55.374643
2025-06-22 1.756482 2.974131 5.052344 8.973967 16.463757 30.720892 61.374795
2025-06-29 1.644432 2.836447 4.913843 8.925803 16.791053 32.200267 66.444822
2025-07-06 1.536077 2.696014 4.757612 8.827140 17.005485 33.473663 71.249172
2025-07-13 1.488777 2.661744 4.790598 9.092401 17.970792 36.385587 80.103197
2025-07-20 1.434909 2.610530 4.786816 9.283187 18.801470 39.110498 88.946521
2025-07-27 1.402880 2.597501 4.853588 9.620992 19.977054 42.723189 100.472208
2025-08-03 1.305684 2.451635 4.650621 9.381989 19.875535 43.469427 105.049780
2025-08-10 1.229130 2.340464 4.507406 9.255209 20.008232 44.765356 111.225059
2025-08-17 1.161207 2.241459 4.380859 9.152154 20.182654 46.177658 117.927906
2025-08-24 1.092780 2.136570 4.234299 8.991652 20.206084 47.227025 123.816841
2025-08-31 1.025972 2.030395 4.077244 8.793621 20.119531 47.993617 129.043000